#38: Erik Goeddel Scouting Report

Goeddel was quickly shut down last summer

The decison to select right-hander Erik Goeddel came with a lot of attention given the organization's atypical draft pattern to get him. Unfortunately, Goeddel lasted just one inning before he was shut down. Why? Check out his scouting report find the thinking behind the decision and what makes the former UCLA hurler so promising.

Vital Statistics
Name: Erik Goeddel
DOB: December 20, 1988
Weight: 185
Throws: Right
Bats: Right
Status: 24th Round (2010) – UCLA

In recent drafts, the Mets have employed a deliberate focus on collegiate pitchers. Whether from small or large programs, the organization has been on the lookout for comparatively polished arms in hopes they can move quickly through the system. In 2010, Erik Goeddel fit that mold which is why the Mets made the decision to go over-slot to draft the former UCLA right-hander in the 24th round.

Going over-slot is not a tactic the Mets use often, though they have done so increasingly in recent years – Kyle Allen and Zachary Dotson being other examples. So the decision to choose Goeddel above the 24th round pay grade came with the goal of getting a high-quality arm despite the higher sticker price.

The right-hander's live arm made him the attraction of numerous teams, but eventually it was the Mets who selected him and signed him for $500,000 despite not getting a deal done until close to the June 17th deadline.

However, while Goeddel's signing was certainly a positive from a 2010 draft class that has yet to distinguish itself as a group, his lack of mound time last summer was a disappointment. He pitched just one inning in the Gulf Coast League before coaches and the organization decided to shut him down.

"We looked at his last season in college, the kind of workload he had, how he projects in this system and figured it wasn't worth pushing him," former Mets pitching coordinator Rick Waits said at the time of the decision.

According to Waits, Goeddel showed signs of arm fatigue during his workouts when he arrived at the Port St. Lucie complex. It only took one inning of work to demonstrate that was enough rather than jeopardize his future.

"He's got a live arm and good arm strength and we wanted to make sure it stayed that way," Waits said. "It's always a bit of a disappointment when you get this kind of talent and are unable to see him in action, but in the long run I think letting him rest for the summer was the right decision."

That decision leaves fans – as well as scouts – eager for his debut next season. So far, there are no signs of any setbacks and little reason to believe he won't be ready for camp. When he returns, everyone will get a glimpse of another high upside arm whose over-slot bonus could pay dividends sooner than later.











Gulf Coast League








Repertoire: Fastball, Curveball, Changeup

Fastball: Goeddel's velocity was down during the workouts preceding his Gulf Coast League inning which was the reason the organization felt compelled to shut him down. According to Waits, he was around 90 MPH during those workouts which is measurably different than velocities reported during his last season at UCLA. Existing reports clocked Goeddel in the low-90s, touching 95 MPH at times. Unfortunately, all scouts can go on at this point are those reports. Nevertheless, Goeddel was complimented for his arm strength and velocity, and would be a welcomed hard-thrower in an organization making an effort to stockpile such arms.

Other Pitches: Goeddel's curveball is his best secondary pitch. Thrown in the mid to high-80s, he generates a good tilt and snap that make it a formidable put-away pitch when on – again according to existing scouting reports. Scouts reported plus potential, making it a dynamic pairing when combined with his fastball command. The right-hander throws a polished changeup with good fade and sink, but also has projectability. The polish of his curveball will likely make the changeup a priority when he finally gets going.

Pitching: As mentioned, Goeddel is reportedly at this best when he has his fastball and curveball working in tandem. His plus fastball command allows him to bait hitters with the curveball, throwing it on both sides of the plate and down to induce weak contact or strikeouts. When doing so, he is very efficient, while using his changeup to alter eye levels and hitter tempo.

Projection: It's almost impossible to make a concrete projection for a pitcher who has tossed just one inning of professional baseball. That being said, if current reports on him hold up, he should have the stuff to pitch in the front end of the rotation. If the changeup does not advance any further or regresses in the event he stays fastball/curveball against minor league hitters, he will have the 1-2 punch to become a formidable late-inning arm. Goeddel's place on the Top 50 list could change dramatically following the 2011, but given his lack of playing time last season and lack of information coming out about him, it was impossible to rank him any higher.

ETA: Late 2013. Goeddel's polish is strong enough that as long as he is healthy come spring, there is no reason he shouldn't begin in a long season league. The safer bet is that he begins in Savannah with a shot at moving up to St. Lucie later in the year. However, if – for any reason – his arm gives him issues he could remain in St. Lucie and pitch out of the bullpen before moving into the rotation later on. Either way, there are enough positives already in his game that he should get his first look either as a starter or reliever in the second half of 2013.

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