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The U Files #33: Past Players/Future Projections

The Mets were a popular favorite after a blizzard of trades and signings remade the team before the 2002 season. However, new additions Roberto Alomar and Jeromy Burnitz were total failures and the team was the biggest dud in baseball. After the fact looks at similarity scores indicate that some decline should have been expected. Here we will look at the future of 2003 newcomer Tom Glavine.

Similarity scores are a method invented by Bill James that finds players similar to a given player. The system gives past players points for statistical similarities with a given player. The points are added up to compile a list of the past players most similar to the player on trial. The careers of these similar players can then be used to give insight into the possible future of a player. A...